The natural gas usage in Denmark has been declining in the past 15 years, and it is considered likely that the decline will continue.
In this project, Ea Energy Analyses set up three scenarios for the natural gas usage in Denmark:
The ‘Ambitious green’ and ‘Electrification’ scenarios had as a prerequisite that the transition into green energy continues, so Denmark is completely free of using fossil fuels in 2050. The main difference in the two scenarios was that in the Electrification scenario, electricity storage and electrification play a larger role. In the scenario ‘Moderate green’ the transition into green energy was slower, so only about half of the Danish gas usage was changed to green gas in 2050.
The analysis showed that compared to today, the gas usage in 2030 would be lower in all three scenarios. In ‘Ambitious green’ the use in 2030 was about 37% lower than today, in ‘Electrification’ it had fallen by 46%, and in ‘Moderate green’ it had fallen by 29%.
The project was carried out for HMN Naturgas and ran from June to September 2018.